In Ancient Rome, long before anyone thought to call it a “prediction market,” people were already betting on the future – who’d win the consulship, whether the Senate would pass a law, or which gladiator would walk out alive.
Romans believed putting money on the line was the best way to show what you really believed would happen.
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And honestly, that hasn’t changed much today.
Matter of fact, a University of Cincinnati study found that prediction markets outperformed traditional polls and pundits in forecasting the 2024 US election.
Now, say you’re an American and you want THE MOST accurate prediction on… uhhh… whether Jesus Christ returns before GTA VI drops.
You couldn’t check it on Polymarket – the world’s biggest prediction market – because it’s been banned in the US since 2022.
(For the record, the odds are at 17% – and honestly, I don’t think Jesus will take that long.)
The CFTC shut Polymarket down because it was offering real‑money prediction contracts without proper registration.
But yesterday, that changed.
Polymarket announced it’s buying QCEX, a licensed US derivatives exchange, for $112M – which means they can operate legally in the US again.
And it’s quite a big deal, because:
1️⃣ Polymarket unlocks a relatable crypto use case.
Polymarket is decentralized, and every bet is actually a smart contract on the blockchain.
So it’s not just gambling – it’s a real-world use case for crypto technology that regular people can actually understand and use.
2️⃣ It taps into the biggest prediction market in the world.
The US has the largest audience for political and event betting.
And now, Polymarket can serve this huge market – which could increase usage, visibility, and awareness of blockchain-based apps in general.
3️⃣ It’s one more proof that crypto and regulation can work together.
Polymarket’s proving you don’t have to avoid the US – you can comply and still offer a distinctly crypto-native product.
Put simply: it’s not just about betting on Jesus vs. GTA VI. Although that is hilarious.
It’s about crypto-based platforms making real, tangible progress in mainstream markets.
That’s a win for the whole ecosystem and a promising sign for anyone who wants to see crypto keep growing and proving its value globally.
Now you’re in the know. But think about your friends – they probably have no idea. I wonder who could fix that… 😃🫵 Spread the word and be the hero you know you are! |